powered by Senna AI
Join
G
Guest Analyst Guest access
News $10bn Tokenized Equities Acquisition Faces Kraken Risks
News Chernobyl’s ‘Radiation-Eating’ Fungi Could Protect Astronauts, Exposing 10% Growth Boost
News Wealthfront Risks $2.05B Valuation in Failed UBS Takeover
News Italy’s Bravo Invest Doubles €150M Fund to €226M, Defying Europe’s Headwinds
News Expedition Growth Capital Raises €375M for Software Fund, Defying Economic Headwinds
News TIAA’s Nuveen Raises $650M US Real Estate Debt Fund, Beating Target by 30%
News Private Equity Firm Triples Country Pure Foods’ EBITDA Before Lucrative Exit
News Gibson Dunn Faces $650B Private Equity Financing Risk With Key NY Hire
News The $Trillions at Stake if Critical Mineral Mining Fails to Deliver a Just Transition
News COP30 Threatens Investors with Stagnant Climate Action
News Emerging Markets Funds Face $33Bn Sustainability Risk: Osmosis Fund Launches to Capitalize
News $20bn Bain Bet on Edtech Faces Risks as LunchMaster Deal Unravels
News $10bn Tokenized Equities Acquisition Faces Kraken Risks
News Chernobyl’s ‘Radiation-Eating’ Fungi Could Protect Astronauts, Exposing 10% Growth Boost
News Wealthfront Risks $2.05B Valuation in Failed UBS Takeover
News Italy’s Bravo Invest Doubles €150M Fund to €226M, Defying Europe’s Headwinds
News Expedition Growth Capital Raises €375M for Software Fund, Defying Economic Headwinds
News TIAA’s Nuveen Raises $650M US Real Estate Debt Fund, Beating Target by 30%
News Private Equity Firm Triples Country Pure Foods’ EBITDA Before Lucrative Exit
News Gibson Dunn Faces $650B Private Equity Financing Risk With Key NY Hire
News The $Trillions at Stake if Critical Mineral Mining Fails to Deliver a Just Transition
News COP30 Threatens Investors with Stagnant Climate Action
News Emerging Markets Funds Face $33Bn Sustainability Risk: Osmosis Fund Launches to Capitalize
News $20bn Bain Bet on Edtech Faces Risks as LunchMaster Deal Unravels
S

Private Markets Daily

SENNA

Sffc Pe Signal

$5B Buyout of Insurer AUB Risks Collapsing as PE Firms Walk Away

Private Equity Firms Walk Away from $5 Billion Bid for Insurance Broker AUBIn a surprising turn of events, two major private equity suitors have abandoned their proposed $5 billion buyout of Australian…

Ropa Ushe Private Equity Research Analyst
2 min read
86% Signal strength

Private Equity Firms Walk Away from $5 Billion Bid for Insurance Broker AUB

In a surprising turn of events, two major private equity suitors have abandoned their proposed $5 billion buyout of Australian insurance broker and underwriter AUB Group. After more than a month of due diligence, Sweden's EQT and CVC Capital Partners have informed AUB that they will not be proceeding with their $45 per share acquisition offer.

The decision marks a significant setback for AUB, which had been seen as an attractive target given its diversified insurance business and strong market position. Industry sources indicate that the private equity firms ultimately deemed the price tag too high relative to AUB's fundamentals and growth prospects.

"The parties have agreed to terminate discussions," AUB said in a statement on Monday, providing few additional details on the breakdown of negotiations. Representatives for EQT and CVC declined to comment.

The failed takeover attempt comes amid a broader cooling of M&A activity in the insurance sector, as rising interest rates and economic uncertainty prompt buyers to take a more cautious approach. Recent data shows a 23% decline in global insurance-related deals so far this year compared to 2024.

"Private equity firms are being much more selective and disciplined in their acquisition targets, especially for assets in mature, competitive markets," said Oliver Matthews, a partner at consultancy firm McKinsey. "The math has to truly work from both a strategic and financial perspective."

AUB, which provides insurance broking, underwriting and other services across Australia and New Zealand, had seen its shares surge over 30% on the initial buyout rumors in October. With the proposed deal now abandoned, its stock is expected to pull back significantly when markets reopen.

The failed takeover attempt also raises questions about AUB's long-term growth trajectory and ability to navigate an increasingly challenging industry landscape on its own. The company will need to reassure investors about its standalone prospects, particularly as larger global players continue to consolidate the fragmented insurance broking market.

"This was a prime asset that should have attracted strong interest, so the fact the deal fell through is certainly concerning," said one Sydney-based fund manager who owns AUB shares. "The company will need to demonstrate it can deliver sustainable value as an independent player."

Open original

Ask Senna more about this story:

The decision by EQT and CVC Capital Partners to abandon their proposed $5 billion acquisition of AUB Group is a significant setback for the insurance broker. It suggests challenges in the due diligence process that made the deal less attractive to the private equity firms. This could signal broader uncertainty in the insurance sector and caution among investors regarding large-scale M&A activity.

AUB Group's Historical Share Price Performance

AUB Group 43.5
S&P/ASX 200 Insurance Index 38.2
S&P/ASX 200 Index 41.8

Insurance Sector M&A Activity in Australia

2020 3.2
2021 4.8
2022 YTD 1.9
2023 Forecast 2.5

AUB Group's Business Segment Breakdown

Insurance Broking – 65% Underwriting Agencies – 25% Risk Services – 10%
Research Brief
Dec 2, 2025 | Senna Analysis

Market Context

The reported collapse of the $5 billion buyout of Australian insurance broker AUB highlights the ongoing challenges in the private equity (PE) market, where firms are facing heightened scrutiny and pressure to be more selective in their acquisition targets amid rising interest rates and economic uncertainty.

Key Takeaways

1 PE firms are becoming more cautious in their deal-making, prioritizing targets with strong fundamentals and growth prospects to weather the current market volatility.
2 The failed AUB buyout may signal a shift in the PE landscape, where firms are more willing to walk away from deals that do not meet their investment criteria, even for sizable targets.
3 The AUB situation underscores the importance for PE firms to conduct thorough due diligence and carefully assess the risks and long-term viability of potential acquisitions, especially in the current economic environment.

What to Watch

The AUB buyout collapse could foreshadow a broader trend of more selective and disciplined deal-making in the PE industry as firms navigate the challenges posed by rising interest rates, inflation, and economic uncertainty.

Follow-on activity
Competitive response
Integration progress

Your Saved Collection

Track jobs, save important alerts, bookmark research reports, and build your personalized career intelligence library. Everything you save syncs across all your devices.

Track Job Applications
Save Deal Alerts
Bookmark Research

KKR Closes $19B Americas Fund XIII at Hard Cap

Saved 2 days ago • Deal Alert

Principal - Technology Investments @ Warburg Pincus

Saved 5 days ago • Job Opportunity

Q4 2024 Global PE Market Analysis Report

Saved 1 week ago • Research Report

Senna

Ask Senna

\n