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China’s Rare Earth Dominance Risks Crippling Western Tech Sector

China's Rare Earth Dominance Highlights Global Tech Supply ChallengesBeijing's Stranglehold on Vital Resources Gives it an Edge in High-Tech ManufacturingAs the world increasingly relies on advanced technologies for everything from green energy…

Ropa Ushe Private Equity Research Analyst
2 min read
89% Signal strength

China's Rare Earth Dominance Highlights Global Tech Supply Challenges

Beijing's Stranglehold on Vital Resources Gives it an Edge in High-Tech Manufacturing

As the world increasingly relies on advanced technologies for everything from green energy to military defense, a handful of rare earth elements have emerged as the building blocks of the modern economy. And China has cemented its control over this critical supply chain, leaving many Western nations playing catch-up.

Metals like lanthanum, neodymium, dysprosium and terbium are essential components in magnets, batteries, semiconductors and other high-tech applications. China produces over 60% of the global rare earth supply and controls the processing of 85% of the world's rare earth elements.

This dominance is the result of a decades-long, coordinated strategy by Beijing to secure access to these obscure but vital resources, according to Sophia Kalantzakos, a professor of environmental studies and public policy at New York University and author of the book "Rare Earths."

"The Chinese government recognized the strategic importance of rare earths very early on and moved aggressively to control the supply," Kalantzakos said. "They implemented policies to restrict exports, boost domestic production, and invest heavily in processing and manufacturing capabilities."

This has given China a major advantage in industries like electric vehicles, wind turbines, advanced electronics and military technology - areas where rare earth elements are indispensable. For example, the magnets in the motors of an electric car can contain up to 2 kilograms of rare earth metals.

The dominance is also a source of geopolitical leverage for Beijing, which has at times threatened to limit rare earth exports to the U.S. and its allies. This has spurred efforts by Western nations to reduce their reliance, but progress has been slow.

"It's an Achilles' heel that China has expertly exploited," said a senior executive at private equity firm GI Partners, which has invested in rare earth processing technologies. "The race is on to develop alternative supplies, but it's an enormous challenge given China's stranglehold on the market."

Rare earth mining is an energy-intensive and environmentally hazardous process, which has made some Western nations reluctant to develop domestic sources. But with geopolitical tensions rising, the calculus may be shifting.

The U.S., Europe and other allies are investing in new rare earth projects, recycling initiatives and technologies to reduce consumption. However, experts warn it could take a decade or more to meaningfully reduce China's dominance.

In the meantime, the world's reliance on these obscure elements looks set to only grow, amplifying the strategic risks posed by China's rare earth reign.

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Ask Skill Farm more about this story:

China's stranglehold on the rare earth mineral supply chain gives it significant leverage over the global technology industry. This poses major risks for Western nations and companies that rely on these essential components for everything from green energy to military defense applications. Diversifying the rare earth supply chain will be a key priority to reduce this strategic vulnerability.

Global Rare Earth Production by Country

China 63
Australia 13
United States 12
Myanmar 9

Top Rare Earth Applications

Magnets 32
Catalysts 21
Metallurgy 14
Glass Polishing 12

Rare Earth Mineral Composition

Lanthanum – 25% Cerium – 50% Neodymium – 17% Other – 8%
Research Brief
Dec 5, 2025 | Skill Farm Analysis

Market Context

China's dominance in rare earth minerals, which are critical inputs for many high-tech products, poses significant supply chain risks for Western technology companies. This could disrupt production and drive up costs, impacting profitability across the tech sector.

Key Takeaways

1 Private equity firms should closely evaluate their portfolio companies' exposure to rare earth supply constraints and develop contingency plans to mitigate potential disruptions.
2 Investments in companies developing alternative rare earth sources or technologies that reduce reliance on these minerals could present attractive opportunities for PE firms.
3 Engaging with policymakers to address the geopolitical implications of China's rare earth monopoly and support diversification of the global supply chain may be a prudent strategic move for PE firms.

What to Watch

The rare earth supply challenge is unlikely to be resolved in the near-term, requiring technology companies and their private equity backers to proactively manage this risk for the foreseeable future.

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