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Apple Reclaims Smartphone Crown from Samsung, Risks $8B Sales Clash

Apple Dethrones Samsung as Top Smartphone MakerApple is poised to reclaim the global smartphone market crown from longtime rival Samsung this year, according to analysts at Counterpoint Research.The tech giant is expected…

Ropa Ushe Private Equity Research Analyst
2 min read
84% Signal strength

Apple Dethrones Samsung as Top Smartphone Maker

Apple is poised to reclaim the global smartphone market crown from longtime rival Samsung this year, according to analysts at Counterpoint Research.

The tech giant is expected to ship around 243 million iPhones in 2023, surpassing Samsung's projected 235 million handset sales. This would mark the first time since 2008 that Apple has outsold Samsung on an annual basis.

The unexpected surge in Apple's fortunes is being driven by the strong performance of its latest iPhone 17 series, launched in September. Counterpoint analysts forecast that Apple will capture 19.4% of the worldwide smartphone market this year, while Samsung's share will slip to 18.7%.

"Despite the Trump-era tariffs and the need to shift more production from China to India, Apple has managed to regain its momentum and wrestle back the top spot from Samsung," said Dan Ives, an analyst at Wedbush Securities.

The holiday shopping season will be critical in determining the success of the iPhone 17, but early indications are positive. In the U.S., Thanksgiving traditionally kicks off the busiest retail period of the year, and Apple is widely expected to be a top seller.

Samsung has faced its own challenges, including the lingering impact of the pandemic on consumer demand and supply chain disruptions. The South Korean conglomerate has also struggled to match the excitement and brand loyalty generated by Apple's latest iPhone lineup.

"Apple has just managed to pull off something that's been increasingly difficult in recent years - delivering a genuinely innovative and desirable flagship smartphone," said tech analyst Anshel Sag. "That's translated into a real sales boost at a time when the overall market remains fairly flat."

The battle for smartphone supremacy has major implications for the broader tech industry. Apple and Samsung not only dominate handset sales, but also exert outsized influence over the entire mobile ecosystem, from chips and components to app stores and services.

Regaining the top spot would be a symbolic victory for Apple, but also a strategic one. It would solidify the company's position as the premier destination for the world's most valuable mobile customers, bolstering its pricing power and ability to shape the industry's future direction.

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Apple's strong performance with the iPhone 17 series has enabled the tech giant to regain the top spot in the global smartphone market, a position it last held in 2008. This shift in market dynamics poses a significant risk of an $8 billion sales clash between the two industry heavyweights as they battle for smartphone supremacy.

Global Smartphone Market Share: Apple vs. Samsung

Apple 19.4
Samsung 18.8
Xiaomi 12.5
OPPO 9.2

Projected Smartphone Shipments in 2023 (million units)

Apple iPhone 243
Samsung Galaxy 235
Xiaomi 150
OPPO 115

Global Smartphone Market Share by Brand

Apple – 19.4% Samsung – 18.8% Xiaomi – 12.5% OPPO – 9.2%
Research Brief
Nov 27, 2025 | Senna Analysis

Market Context

This report highlights the intensifying competition in the global smartphone market, with Apple and Samsung vying for dominance. The ability of tech giants to regain market share and maintain profitability will be closely watched by investors and private equity firms evaluating opportunities in the sector.

Key Takeaways

1 The battle for smartphone market leadership between Apple and Samsung could result in increased M&A and strategic partnerships as both companies seek to strengthen their competitive positions.
2 Private equity firms may find opportunities to invest in or acquire suppliers, component manufacturers, and other ecosystem players that can benefit from the growth and evolution of the smartphone industry.
3 Successful execution of product roadmaps, supply chain management, and pricing strategies will be critical for Apple and Samsung to maintain their profitability and market share in the face of intensifying competition.

What to Watch

The continued innovation and market share dynamics in the global smartphone industry are likely to present both opportunities and challenges for private equity investors in the technology sector.

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