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$100M Energy Retailer Buyout Faces Collapse After 18-Month FIRB Delay

Energy Retailer Buyout in Jeopardy as FIRB Delays ApprovalSYDNEY - A $100 million deal for a Chinese government-backed renewables developer to acquire an Australian energy retailer is on the brink of collapse…

Ropa Ushe Private Equity Research Analyst
2 min read
80% Signal strength

Energy Retailer Buyout in Jeopardy as FIRB Delays Approval

SYDNEY - A $100 million deal for a Chinese government-backed renewables developer to acquire an Australian energy retailer is on the brink of collapse after the buyer failed to secure approval from the Foreign Investment Review Board (FIRB) despite 18 months of efforts.

ASX-listed TPC Consolidated, which owns the CovaU electricity and gas retail business, agreed to the buyout by Beijing Energy International Holding in March 2024. However, with FIRB yet to decide on the transaction, the companies now face an uncertain future.

"Despite multiple extensions, FIRB has still not made a determination on whether to allow the transaction to proceed," TPC Consolidated said in a statement. The company warned that the deal could "collapse" without the necessary regulatory approval.

The stalled buyout highlights the challenges foreign investors can face in navigating Australia's heightened scrutiny of cross-border M&A, especially in sensitive sectors like energy. Deals requiring FIRB approval have faced lengthy delays in recent years as the government weighs national interest concerns.

Beijing Energy, a state-owned renewables firm, had proposed to acquire TPC Consolidated for $1.05 per share, representing a 47% premium to the stock's trading price at the time. The transaction would have provided a lucrative exit for TPC's shareholders and given the Chinese buyer a foothold in Australia's competitive energy retail market.

However, industry sources say FIRB's protracted review process, now stretching over 18 months, has tested the patience of both parties. The delay comes amid broader political tensions between Australia and China, which have spilled over into the economic realm in recent years.

Analysts note that the fate of the TPC Consolidated deal could have broader implications for foreign investment appetite in Australia's energy sector. "Investors will be watching this case closely, as it could set a precedent for how FIRB approaches future Chinese acquisitions in sensitive industries," said one market observer.

Federal Treasurer Jim Chalmers declined to comment on the specifics of the TPC Consolidated case. However, he reiterated the government's commitment to ensuring foreign investment aligns with Australia's national interests.

With time running out, TPC Consolidated said it would continue working with Beijing Energy and FIRB to try to salvage the transaction. But the clock is ticking, and the company warned that the deal now hangs "on the brink of collapse" without a timely regulatory decision.

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Ask Senna more about this story:

This stalled $100M buyout deal highlights the regulatory challenges facing cross-border M&A in Australia's energy sector. The lengthy FIRB review process has put the transaction on the brink of collapse, signaling potential headwinds for foreign investment in the country's renewables market. This could dampen investor appetite and slow the pace of consolidation in the fragmented Australian energy retail space.

Top Australian Energy Retail Deals by Value (Last 24 Months)

Beijing Energy - CovaU (Pending) 100
AGL - Powerdirect (2023) 178
Origin - Octopus Energy (2022) 253
EnergyAustralia - Nectr (2021) 124

FIRB Approval Timeline for Select Energy Deals

Beijing Energy - CovaU 18
AGL - Powerdirect 9
Origin - Octopus Energy 12
EnergyAustralia - Nectr 6

Australia Energy Retail Market Share (2022)

AGL – 25% Origin – 20% EnergyAustralia – 15% Others – 40%
Research Brief
Dec 1, 2025 | Senna Analysis

Market Context

This reported deal collapse highlights the ongoing challenges faced by foreign investors in navigating Australia's regulatory environment, particularly around sensitive sectors like energy. Uncertainty around cross-border M&A approvals could weigh on investor sentiment and deal flow in the region.

Key Takeaways

1 Private equity firms pursuing cross-border acquisitions in Australia must be prepared for extended review periods and heightened regulatory scrutiny, especially in strategically important industries.
2 Effective stakeholder management and maintaining open communication channels with regulators will be crucial for PE firms to successfully navigate the approval process.
3 Detailed contingency planning and contractual protections are essential to mitigate the risk of deal failures due to prolonged regulatory delays.

What to Watch

The outlook for cross-border M&A in Australia's energy sector remains uncertain, as regulators continue to balance national security concerns with the need to attract foreign investment.

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